How we get back to sustainable, long‑term growth is the big question facing boardrooms and political chambers around the world right now. Some of the biggest inflationary fears – widely predicted late last year – have been mitigated by more direct, pro-active political action geared especially towards getting rising energy prices down. There are also signs that other commodities and food prices are finally starting to ease – helping consumers and business owners who’ve been facing a significant financial squeeze.
The actions taken over the coming months are likely to play a significant role in the pace and nature of the world’s economic recovery. KPMG’s **ysis forecasts that employment levels should remain robust, even given recent tech layoff announcements – a sign that the tightness of the labor market faced postpandemic shows no sign of easing. It’s an indication of the complexities the world faces today. Strong employment figures are often held up as an example of buoyant market conditions, but they can also reflect the challenges central banks are facing as they attempt to juggle wage expectations, tightened credit conditions and the ever-present danger that any shift in the conflict in Ukraine could bring inflation back into the mix. The upside of a strong labor market, combined with relatively strong personal savings among consumers – especially in Europe and the Americas – means we could start to see a return to robust consumer spending, driving a return to slow-but-steady domestic growth in key markets.
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